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Abstract


THE POSSIBLE EFFECTS OF NUCLEAR NEGOTIATIONS BETWEEN P5+1 AND IRAN OVER MIDDLE EAST AND TURKEY
Ongoing nuclear talks between Iran and P5+1 is important for both regional and global balances. Internal and external motivations of the negotiating parties should be analyzed to be able to think over the scenarios about the possible results of the talks. U.S. point of view is mainly shaped by the desire to decrease American engagement in the Middle East after the Iraqi experience and economic crisis. And Iran wants to manage domestic unrest and stop the processes which soften up the legitimacy of the regime. Besides this, Iran also sees the opening of a playing field in the region for itself. Either the agreement between Tahran and P5+1 will be reached or not, the movement in the internal dynamics of Iran will persist. Demands of the minorities, Turks stand first on the list, and mainstream opposition movements probably will grow stronger. And Iran’s attitudes vis a vis those internal and regional dynamics will also affect its relations with Turkey. While designing the future of its relations with Iran Ankara may analyse both the evolution of the process of nuclear talks and its experience in Syria.

Keywords
US –Iran Relations, Nuclear Talks with Iran, Minorities in Iran, Turkey-Iran Relations


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    Reha YILMAZ
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